Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.259910 3.816343 4.408743 5.083274 5.826907 6.618675 7.522367
2024-10-27 2.363437 3.106843 3.959494 4.996367 6.209756 7.571877 9.203410
2024-11-03 1.850549 2.710045 3.764254 5.120142 6.785541 8.733496 11.152466
2024-11-10 1.462492 2.379680 3.578250 5.199430 7.275459 9.788107 13.000527
2024-11-17 1.108307 2.017864 3.286809 5.090350 7.492862 10.493224 14.430392
2024-11-24 0.833718 1.707601 3.010179 4.952114 7.635612 11.083055 15.712050
2024-12-01 0.649379 1.492842 2.831320 4.914845 7.887768 11.800186 17.155273
2024-12-08 0.499509 1.298474 2.650472 4.846222 8.076309 12.423494 18.478896
2024-12-15 0.434307 1.241450 2.674448 5.073839 8.679729 13.608026 20.554942
2024-12-22 0.349866 1.124714 2.581714 5.108838 8.999431 14.408602 22.133419
2024-12-29 0.313632 1.100419 2.642476 5.383838 9.674500 15.709112 24.402408
2025-01-05 0.274578 1.059394 2.666357 5.596304 10.259177 16.893184 26.532533
2025-01-12 0.225202 0.981487 2.616325 5.689184 10.676565 17.867998 28.421576
2025-01-19 0.168567 0.863239 2.471605 5.608978 10.821756 18.457382 29.792811
2025-01-26 0.139871 0.813708 2.456868 5.749947 11.313595 19.553834 31.885495
2025-02-02 0.112588 0.756314 2.416503 5.839238 11.722104 20.533624 33.827413
2025-02-09 0.079434 0.658189 2.270696 5.722475 11.789150 21.007891 35.059833
2025-02-16 0.053048 0.564404 2.116286 5.573135 11.790323 21.377200 36.142284
2025-02-23 0.037009 0.501704 2.024107 5.533007 11.966774 22.008351 37.605182
2025-03-02 0.024213 0.439518 1.920154 5.458611 12.077829 22.537654 38.924359
2025-03-09 0.020851 0.435935 1.973283 5.705939 12.748910 23.937321 41.529417
2025-03-16 0.014500 0.399407 1.927585 5.743973 13.054677 24.775692 43.321834
2025-03-23 0.013019 0.404497 2.003584 6.042306 13.825305 26.348655 46.213227